The Truth About Zillow “Zestimates”
- Scott Sweeney
- Jul 4
- 4 min read
If you’ve looked up your home or any home on Zillow, you’ve probably seen the Zestimate®: Zillow’s estimated market value for a property. It’s a tempting tool, offering a quick number that feels official. But is it accurate? Can it replace a professional valuation?
Let’s break down the truth about Zestimates what they are, how they’re calculated, and when to trust them (and when not to).
🔍 What Exactly Is a Zestimate?
A Zestimate® is Zillow’s estimate of a home’s market value, generated by a proprietary algorithm that uses:
Public data (like tax records and past sales)
MLS data (when available)
Comparable home sales nearby
Features of the home (square footage, beds/baths, lot size, etc.)
What it’s not: It’s not a professional appraisal. It doesn’t involve an actual person evaluating your home’s condition, upgrades, or unique features. It's a starting point—not the final word.
⚖️ How Accurate Are Zestimates?
Zillow claims a nationwide median error rate of around 2.4% for on-market homes and 7.5% for off-market homes (as of 2024). But those numbers vary wildly depending on your local market.
Here’s why accuracy may vary:
No algorithm can see inside your home. It doesn't know you just remodeled the kitchen or added a home office.
Outdated data: If public records aren’t updated, your Zestimate might be based on incorrect square footage or bedroom count.
Limited MLS access: In some areas, Zillow doesn’t have full access to the Multiple Listing Service, which means its comparables may be off.
✅ More accurate if: The home is listed, the market is active, and local data is current.🚫 Less accurate if: The home is off-market, in a rural area, or has unique features.
🧩 Factors Zestimates Can Miss
Even if the math is good, Zestimates can’t account for:
Curb appeal and staging
Upgrades (remodeled bathrooms, energy-efficient windows, etc.)
Deferred maintenance (like a roof that needs replacing)
Neighborhood feel (quiet cul-de-sac vs. busy street)
Recent home improvements that haven’t hit the public record yet
📉 Can Zestimates Impact Your Sale or Purchase?
They absolutely can—but not always for the better.
Sellers:
Buyers may anchor to a Zestimate, especially if it’s lower than your asking price.
If it’s too high, it can give sellers false expectations and lead to overpricing.
Buyers:
Relying too heavily on a Zestimate can lead to missed opportunities, especially in competitive markets.
It can mislead first-time buyers into thinking a home is overpriced or underpriced without a full picture.
🏡 So... Should You Trust a Zestimate?
The short answer: Use it as a rough guide—not the gospel truth.
Zestimates are useful for:
✅ Getting a ballpark figure of a home’s value
✅ Starting a conversation with your agent
✅ Watching broad market trends
They’re not a substitute for:
❌ A Comparative Market Analysis (CMA) from a local real estate expert
❌ A professional appraisal (especially for lenders or pricing high-end homes)
❌ An in-person property evaluation
💡 What’s More Accurate Than a Zestimate?
To get a true understanding of your home’s value:
Request a CMA from a local real estate professional.
Compare recent, similar sales (same neighborhood, size, condition).
Consider the local market trajectory—are prices trending up or down?
Factor in your home’s condition, upgrades, and timing of the sale.
✅ Final Thoughts
Zestimates are a helpful starting point, but they’re not the finish line. Real estate pricing is both a science and an art, blending data with local expertise and personal insight.
Before making a major decision about buying or selling, consult a trusted real estate professional who can provide a nuanced, accurate evaluation tailored to your property, not just a machine-generated guess.
Your NorCal Realtor
M&M Real Estate
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Cell: Call/Text 707-330-2324
About Scott Sweeney
SweeneySells
Full Time Realtor 13 Years +
Over 100 Families Served
Top 5% Producing Agent
Buying & Listing Specialist
Contract & Negotiation Ninja
CSUS Business & Marketing Graduate 2006
With quickly serving over a 100 families, Scott Sweeney has become a top 5% producing Realtor in the greater Sacramento area who has helped clients from the Bay Area to South Lake Tahoe. Scott has a Bachelor Of Science in Business Administration, with a concentration in Marketing from CSUS. His education, and extensive background in the hospitality, marketing, and real estate industries, have helped Scott to become one of the leading, and most sought after agents in the area.
Reach out to SweeneySells today, and take the first step towards your real estate goals!
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